Select Input Rarity
Choose the rarity of skins you want to trade up
Input Skins (0/10)
Click a slot to add a skin
Total Value:
Slot 1
Slot 2
Slot 3
Slot 4
Slot 5
Slot 6
Slot 7
Slot 8
Slot 9
Slot 10
Possible Outcomes
Add skins to see possible outcomes
Add skins to see possible outcomes
Select 10 more skins to trade up
How Trade-Up Contracts Work
Master the mechanics to maximize your profits
Choose 10 skins of the same rarity. The collections they belong to determine which outcomes are possible. Mixing collections increases outcome variety — use this strategically.
Review all possible outcomes and their values. The expected value (EV) tells you whether the trade-up is profitable on average. A positive EV means profit over many trades.
One random outcome is selected from the pool. In-game, CS2 uses a weighted system based on float values and collection overlap. Compare input vs output to see your profit or loss.
Use this simulator to test hundreds of combinations risk-free. Find the optimal input combinations with the highest EV before committing your real skins.
Standard Trade-Up
Trade 10 skins of the same rarity to receive 1 skin of the next higher rarity. The outcome is randomly selected from the collections of your input skins.
Knife/Gloves Trade-Up
Trade 5 Covert skins for a chance at Knives or Gloves! This special trade-up was added with the CS2 Retake Update — previously impossible.
Trade-Up Strategy Guide
Pro tips to maximize your expected value
Single Collection Focus
Using skins from one collection limits outcomes to that collection's next tier. Great when the next tier has only expensive skins.
Float Value Matters
In-game, the output float is influenced by input floats. Lower float inputs generally produce lower float outputs — important for Factory New trades.
EV Calculation
Always check expected value. Sum all possible outcome values, divide by number of outcomes, then subtract your total input cost. Positive = profitable.
Minimize Downside
Look for trade-ups where even the worst outcome retains most of your input value. Avoid all-or-nothing bets unless odds strongly favor you.
Buy Low, Trade High
Purchase input skins when market prices dip. Cheaper inputs = higher potential profit margin on the same trade-up outcome pool.
Volume Strategy
With positive EV trade-ups, doing more trades approaches the mathematical expectation. One trade is a gamble; 100 trades is statistics.
Rarity Tier Reference
Understanding the CS2 skin rarity hierarchy
Consumer
Industrial
Mil-Spec
Restricted
Classified
Covert
Trade-ups produce skins one tier higher. Covert skins trade up to Knives/Gloves (since the Retake Update).
Frequently Asked Questions
Everything you need to know about trade-up contracts